It's about a month until the Iowa caucus and this fateful election really begins. Here's my prediction for the Iowa result:
Democrats
1. John Edwards
2. Barack Obama
3. Hillary Clinton
Republicans
1. Mitt Romney
2. Huckabee
3. John McCain
The most daring prediction there is McCain coming in as high as third. If he does come in third, he could win New Hampshire. Among the Dems, even with a second place showing, Iowa might help Obama the most for New Hampshire. Of course a lot can happen in a month. But the sense of inevitability for Hillary and Rudy has gone, at least for the moment. Then again, this could be a very weird year, when what happens in Iowa and New Hampshire doesn't matter as much as it did in 2004.
On Having Turned 80
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It seemed odd, even to me, that after posts (or, let's face it, essays) on
major and not so major birthdays for the past 20 years, I let turning 80 go ...
5 days ago
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