Saturday, January 09, 2021

Epiphany Continues

Sunday Update:The plan now seems to be for the House to officially request that Pence invoke the 25th amendment within 24 hours, at which point the House will fast-track Impeachment, probably by midweek. But the Senate won’t meet until after Trump is constitutionally gone, and it can’t begin a trial until officially notified of the Impeachment by the Speaker. So Rep. Clyburn suggested that the Speaker might delay it for several months, while Congress plays its part in assisting President Biden in confronting the urgent issues he faces.

 On Sunday, more arrests were made, more calls for Trump’s removal, more details of how prepared some of the rioters were to stage a violent coup, and more finger pointing of who was responsible for the security failures. Meanwhile, one of the Capitol Police officers who dealt with the insurrection committed suicide. And millions watched this video by former California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, speaking very personally about his memories from his Austrian childhood of the aftermath of the Nazi takeover, saying that Wednesday was the American equivalent of Kristallnacht, “the night of broken glass” perpetrated by Nazi youth (the equivalent, he said, of the Proud Boys) that initiated the rise of Nazism that consumed Europe and left a broken generation.   

“It has been an epiphany for the world to see that there are people in our country led by this president, for the moment, who have chosen their whiteness over democracy.
 Speaker Nancy Pelosi

 As more information is reported and posted, an article on the CNN site Saturday observed: “it’s becoming clear that as heinous as the attack looked in real time, on live TV and in our social feeds, it was even worse than we knew then... It was even more violent. It was even more treacherous. And Trump’s behavior was even more disturbing.” 

 Evidence grows that some of the rioters were armed, some with explosives, and appeared to have goals and knew their way around the Capitol. Several were photographed carrying the kind of plastic ties that police use to restrain suspects. Kidnapping and holding hostages is a frequent theme in the web chatter of right wing extremists, including white supremacists (some known to be there) and neo-Nazis. 

Witnesses heard shouts of attackers inside the Capitol looking for Speaker Pelosi and others, including vice president Mike Pence. A Reuters photographer heard several people claiming to be intent on capturing Pence and hanging him. With top officials spirited away—and other Members hiding in the gallery, in fear of their lives—actual violence was limited to the Capitol Police, one of whom has since died of his injuries—reportedly beaten with a fire extinguisher.

 The gathering of the mob, reportedly financed by Trump campaign dark money, was organized on social media. In the past two days, Trump has been banned for life by Twitter and Facebook, and they have begun to police posts advocating violence more stringently. The extremist platform Parler has lost its ap status on Apple and Google, and Amazon will stop hosting it.

 Still, right wing extremists are making plans to gather in Washington and at state capitals, armed, on the 17th (to specifically carry weapons) and the 19th and Inauguration Day. Trump is their unifier—apparently he is sometimes referred to as GEOTUS: God Emperor of the United States. But even as some AlwaysTrumpers fall away, the most violent and extreme continue—because their cause is what the others have implied and tried to hide: white supremacy.

 But they have lost the element of surprise (if not collusion by law enforcement.) They will face the full array of security in Washington. There will be armed forces with riot training around them, snipers on buildings, helicopters and other aircraft above them. They will not get within a mile of the Capitol this time.  Their whiteness will not fully protect them again.

In the short term, federal law enforcement is identifying and charging miscreants from the Capitol.  Others being identified by Internet sleuths and reporters are being fired or resigning (including a now former state legislator from West Virginia, several local law enforcement and teachers.)

 But what happens in the longer term, after this still-building anger is superseded by other concerns, will depend on how committed the appropriate federal government agencies are or will be during the Biden administration to countering a white supremacist terrorist movement that has become a violent clear and present danger. Those agencies must systematically approach these groups as they would any terrorist organizations. Certainly in the past year and past week, these groups have left no doubt as to their terrorist capabilities and intentions. 

 Racism is a real and independent element in American life, and has always been. Race has also been the flashpoint even when class oppression is the operative cause of distress and injustice Racial injustice is partly the result of this error, exploited by the class and economic exploiters. Racism is how all kinds of fears are expressed. While societally these deep problems become questions of policy and politics, the danger of white supremacists is a matter of self-defense.

 Meanwhile in Washington the fervor for impeachment grows. Unless Speaker Pelosi comes up with a different plan, Trump will be impeached by the House this coming week. Reverting to form, Senate Majority Leader McConnell announced that the Senate will conveniently not begin the resulting trial until after Trump’s term is over at noon of January 20. Trump is said to have made clear to White House staff that he will not resign. 

 On Saturday, the vice president’s office leaked the information that VP Pence may still try to invoke the 25th amendment, if Trump does something else to warrant it. Whether this is a political smokescreen, or an indication that the groundwork has been laid to do this quickly, is anybody’s guess at this point. But State Department diplomats and career officials have twice urged invoking the 25th amendment in group cables to the Secretary of State. A Reuters poll shows 57% of respondents want Trump gone immediately. 

 Also over the weekend, two major Texas newspapers called for Senator Ted Cruz to resign (Houston Chronicle) or be expelled from the Senate (San Antonio Express.) Several Democratic Senators have also called for the expulsion of Cruz and Hawley. That also cannot happen until after January 20, when the Senate will be faced with the need to advise and consent on Biden cabinet nominees, pass emergency legislation, and possibly conduct the trial of Trump—if only to vote afterwards to ban him from federal office (or federal contracts) for life.

Friday, January 08, 2021

Epiphany: Second Day

The enormity of what happened at the Capitol on Wednesday became clearer on Thursday, which spread and deepened the epiphany.  Now eyewitness accounts begin to suggest the violence not seen in those absurd images, as the narrative timeline begins to take shape.  Though accounts still conflict, it seems clear that the entire US Congress--and the top three officials in direct line of succession for the presidency--were in danger for hours, while those in the federal government tasked with protecting them dithered and disappeared.

Consequences have begun.  The House and Senate Sergeants-at-Arms were asked to resign and did, and under fire from his own rank and file, the chief of the Capitol Police resigned effective January 16.  Meanwhile the suspicion of collusion with the rioters grew.  More people pointed out the obvious racism that was a factor.  Attention presumably turns to the Defense Department, Homeland Security, FBI and Secret Service.  

Epiphany reveals the enormity of the sedition by Trump and others in his orbit, as well as the legislators whose seditious lies led to the violence--and then continued after it.  The metaphor of the day at the NY Times was the fever (David Brooks) or the spell (Michelle Goldberg) breaking.  So such previously synchophantic outlets as the Wall Street Journal joined the Times,  Washington Post and today's USA Today in calling for Trump's immediate ouster.  (The Journal begged for resignation, the others for the 25th amendment or impeachment.) Speaker of the House Pelosi and Senate minority Leader Schumer both called for the 25th amendment, but failing that, started the wheels in motion for impeachment.

Out of the long list of congressional co-conspirators, Thursday's fire was focused on the two most prominent: Ted Cruz, the Texas Opportunist, and especially Senator Josh Hawley of Missouri, whose announced intention to dispute the integrity of the vote jumpstarted the sedition in Congress.  In one day, Hawley had one of his biggest supporters (former Senator Danforth) say that backing him had been the worst mistake of his long life, and one of his biggest funders call on the Senate to censure him for "provoking yesterday's riot."  His state's two largest and most influential newspapers--the Kansas City Star and St. Louis Post-Dispatch, called for his resignation.  "Trumpism must die before it morphs into Hitlerism," the Post-Dispatch wrote.  Plus Hawley lost his major New York publisher and book contract.  The Missouri newspapers echoed conservative columnist George Will who called for the political obliteration of Cruz and Hawley.  Together with Trump, Will wrote: "Each will wear a scarlet S as a seditionist."

Morning Joe's epic rant also called for the immediate arrest of Trump, Guliani and Trump, Jr. for inciting violence at the rally that directly preceded the terrorist invasion.  Meanwhile, another folk metaphor suggested itself--rats leaving a sinking ship--as two cabinet secretaries resigned in protest, and nobody cared.  Several national security officials who had let it be known they were considering quitting, let it be known that their retired counterparts begged them to stay, lest the national security of the United States fall into the hands of the equivalent of AlwaysTrump cabin boys, like the teenage appointees Trump installed elsewhere in the government as loyalty bots.

The list of formerly complicit Republicans jumping off the bandwagon and calling for accountability also grew--Peggy Noonan (calling for Trump's removal), Nikki Haley, John Kelly, Mike Mulveny, even Lindsey Graham.  

Trump awoke long enough to issue a hostage video in which he acknowledged a new administration (he couldn't say whose) would take office on January 20, and he would work for a peaceful transition.  This attempt to short circuit efforts to oust him didn't work as well as it did in confusing and angering his mob of true believers.

Besides ongoing questions about what really happened on Wednesday, two questions about the immediate future surfaced Thursday: first, will Trump try to pardon himself (probably yes), and will that stick (probably no)? The compelling constitutional argument--and current Justice Department guidance--says that he can't, because no one can be a judge in their own case.  A more thorough and practical analysis in the Atlantic is pretty persuasive that if Trump tries to use it to evade giving prosecutors information or to quash an indictment, it will be challenged and ultimately lose in the Supreme Court.  Yes, betrayed again!

The second question is can either the 25th amendment or, more likely now, impeachment be accomplished in time to matter?  That's what will be the topic of the day behind the scenes on Friday, with the core question: will impeachment and conviction at least legally prevent Trump from running again?

Meanwhile, more than 3800 Americans died as a result of the covid crisis on Wednesday, setting yet another new one day record.  And it was broken on Thursday, when officially more than 4,000 died. Vaccine supplies continue to be hung up by the federal government.  Here in Humboldt, our public health officer said that the county has the capacity to vaccinate many more people in a short time if more vaccine made its way here.  Getting through the next two weeks until the new administration takes dramatic action--and however long it takes for that action to result in more vaccine--is the task and the challenge we all face. 

 All of this will put to the test what Rep. Conor Lamb of Allegheny County PA said in his fiery speech on the House floor Wednesday night (in which he called out Republican lies, which so enraged one of the Republican liars that he was escorted off the floor): "We want this government to work more than they want it to fail."

Thursday, January 07, 2021

Epiphany and Sedition at the Capitol

 Of the many cliches regularly abused in media reports, probably the worst is "wake-up call."  At once inappropriate and most often inaccurate, it supposes that the reason that something--or the importance of something--has not been acknowledged is that everyone has been asleep.  There have been so many wake-up calls about Trump and his Republican enablers over the years that it's a wonder anybody got even a catnap.

And yet here we are, deep in the same nightmare.  The storming of the Capitol, mobs roaming through the House and Senate chambers and offices, while forcing elected officials and their staffs to seek safety, with damage and death in their wake, is supposed to be the latest wake-up call from any illusion that the individual in the White House is not our Homegrown Hitler, who in that tradition, today publicly fomented violence and sent a violent mob to attack the elected legislature.

Another, better word for what "wake-up call" really means in this context is epiphany--the truth made manifest in a sudden blinding realization.  And as Speaker Pelosi noted when the Congress defied the violent mob and returned to their business, January 6 is the Feast of the Epiphany in the Christian calendar.

Unfortunately for some elected officials, that business was to continue an act of sedition, of attempting to nullify the votes of Americans in a legal election.  The day's violence deterred some, but not the many House Members who insisted on their pious windbag five minutes in the middle of the night.   Nevertheless, at around 3:30 a. Eastern, the Congress fulfilled its necessary but basically ceremonial duty to affirm finally that in two weeks Joseph R. Biden will be inaugurated President, and Kamala Harris Vice-President.

In the wake of this I scan the headlines with charges of sedition and "President Trump has committed treason" and many calls by current and former high officials and major organizations for Trump's immediate removal from office, either by invoking the 25th amendment (which is reportedly under discussion by at least aides to the Cabinet officials who must make that determination) or Impeachment and Conviction.

Will those voices grow louder, or will they fade tomorrow?  Was this an epiphany, or another wake-up call ignored?  Can a wake-up call break through social media hypnotism, or the functional hypnotism of craven political ambition?  Can an epiphany move to action?

Another epiphany of the day is how broken the Trump administration is.  On a day that the Capitol building was assaulted, overwhelming the unprepared Capitol Police (with some indication that some were even complicit), there was not an official word from the federal government: not from Justice, not from Homeland Security, the FBI, anyone.  Certainly not from the White House, where someone sought fit to leak their impression that Trump was pleased by the attack.

Instead there were a few almost comic resignations--the First Lady's chief of staff, the WH social secretary--and rumors of other more senior resignations to come--which will add to the chaos that has become the Trump administration.  

Otherwise, the media is full of opinion, which is perhaps all it can be filled with since so many reporters are working from home during the covid crisis, while we are very much short of facts.  Thursday may turn out to be even more dramatic,  stoked by whatever is happening behind the scenes.  Because in terms of public information we are in a dark void.   

Wednesday, January 06, 2021

Senate, Baby! (Ding Dong the Mitch is Dead)

 


I know I shouldn't because one of the races hasn't yet been called as I write this [update: except by Decision Desk as of 3:30 a. Pacific!]--but Ossoff is ahead by more than 12,000 votes (which is more than Biden's eventual margin) with an estimated 98% in, and predominately Dem areas still counting. [Update: now more than 16,000 votes ahead!]  Then there's military, overseas and challenged ballots, maybe mail-ins still.  And if his margin doesn't end up .5 there can be a mandatory recount.  But there's a lot of confidence in the media as well as politicians on both sides that this is a done deal.  These guys significantly overperformed Biden's votes everywhere, a lot of Democrats voted, and a lot of Republicans stayed home.  

And of course one of the races has been called, as of about 11 p. Pacific Tuesday--Democrat Rev. Raphael Warnock will replace Kelly Loeffler and become the first Black Senator from Georgia in history--the first Black Senator from anywhere in the deep South since Reconstruction.

That Warnock is pastor of the same church that Martin Luther King, Jr.--this call literally brought tears to my eyes.  I didn't allow myself to imagine an election night like this.

Now if Democrat Jon Ossoff continues to prevail over David Perdue as expected, the US Senate is 50-50, and VP Kamala Harris breaks the tie, effectively giving Democrats the majority.  Which above all means that Mitch McConnell will no longer be Majority Leader in charge of subverting President Biden--he'll be minority leader (if he doesn't step down) in charge of mooning around.  Majority Leader Schumer will set the Senate agenda and decide which bills get to the floor, not Mitch.

 Committee chairs go to the Dems, along with their agendas.  All of this is more important than the party line votes--that was always going to be more fluid.  But with an open split in the Republican party that is likely to become evident on the Senate floor today, President Biden's chances of crafting legislation that gets at least a handful of Republican votes gets stronger. 

So now Wednesday's madness in Washington suddenly seems comic tragedy rather than tragicomedy.  Let's laugh at the Fascists on the floor and the Nazanies in the streets.  Cause I'm singing Georgia, Georgia!  The Whole Day Through...

Tuesday, January 05, 2021

If You Can Keep It

I am writing on Monday night, the eve of the (latest) three days that will shake America. When they are over, things will be different. How different and in what direction is at issue. 

 First, it is election day in Georgia—the special election of two U.S. Senators, which will decide the Senate majority and greatly (though not wholly) determine the ability of the Biden administration to get legislation passed. The Republicans have the advantage of incumbency in a perennially red state in the deep South, where they have spent their campaign and media appealing to the state’s racist past.

 However, the Biden-Harris presidential ticket did win the state just months ago, and early voting numbers were very high and seem likely to be favorable to the Democratic candidates. Reporters for Slate and others suggest that Sunday’s revelation of Trump’s functionally treasonous phone call to the Georgia Secretary of State, strong-arming him to change votes, has been the overwhelmingly top news story in Georgia since, with unknown repercussions. If disenchantment with Trump suppresses Republican votes today, the Democrats have a chance, these reporters feel.

 What I haven’t seen anyone mention yet is how long it may be before Georgia has definitive results, if the elections are close, nor in what order the votes will be counted. In November, the Trump votes came in early, and Biden only gradually took the lead towards the end, several days later. How long will it be before we know the outcome, and what kind of uproar will there be depending on results? 

 Wherever the vote count is on Wednesday, attention will turn to the formerly ceremonial counting of the states’ electoral college votes in Congress. Thirteen Senators and more than a hundred House Members are likely to object to the results in one or more of the 6 “swing” states, forcing debates and votes. 

 These results were never going to be overturned in the House—so Republicans who care more about their privileged life in Washington than they do about American democracy can play to their AlwaysTrump base at home, without actually endangering the outcome. 

 But even a few weeks ago it was clear that the objections would also fail in the Senate. There were just enough Republican Senators on the record to deny a majority. But then one ambitious GOP Senator, eyeing a 2024 presidential run, announced he would object anyway. Then, probably alarmed by this appeal to AlwaysTrump voters, presidential hopeful Ted Cruz announced he would object, and went one better by organizing 11 others to join him.

 However by Monday there were many more than the original handful of Republican Senators who announced they would support the electoral results, including some Trump supporters up for reelection next time. Reporters (and perhaps Democratic Senators) expect the mandatory debate to at times pit Republican against Republican.

 My favorite response however was from an unlikely source in the House: a conservative Texas Rep named Chip Roy. In what is also usually a ceremonial vote, current Members vote to accept newly elected Members. But Roy objected to the seating of 67 Members elected in November, both Republicans and Democrats, from the swing states at issue in the AlwaysTrump attempt to overturn the election’s results. He did so using the same logic that I have on this blog: that if you object to the election for President in those states, then you object to the election of everybody in those states. They were all elected by the same rules and on the same ballot.

 His objections forced the 100 plus Republican Members who were going to object to the presidential election to nevertheless vote to seat Members from those disputed states elected at the same time, thus exposing one of the many elements of their hypocrisy.

 Like the ballot-counting in Georgia, the debates in Congress may continue for more than one day, though the outcome in Congress is assured. But meanwhile, our apprentice dictator has invited his most violent followers to Washington during these debates, and is allowing the idea that he might attend himself to be publicized in the news. The National Guard has already been called up, and the DC Police will be looking for guns. All guns in a DC demonstration, and in the federal area of Washington, are unlawful. 

 Meanwhile, political leaders and media writers were asserting in stark terms what is at stake this week, including the conservative columnist George Will, and even some at Fox. None said it more firmly than Tom Nichols in his Atlantic piece titled Worse Than Treason:

 "No amount of rationalizing can change the fact that the majority of the Republican Party is advocating for the overthrow of an American election. “Forget all the whispered denials and the off-the-record expressions of concern in private; ignore the knowing smirks on camera from GOP officials who are desperately trying to indicate that they’re in on the joke... This is sedition, plain and simple. No amount of playacting and rationalizing can change the fact that the majority of the Republican Party and its apologists are advocating for the overthrow of an American election and the continued rule of a sociopathic autocrat.”

 He concludes: 

 “The sedition caucus is worse than a treasonous conspiracy. At least real traitors believe in something. These people instead believe only in their own fortunes and thus will change flags and loyalties as circumstances require. They will always become what they pretend to be, and so they cannot—and must not—be trusted ever again with political power.”

 Other writers, including Jonathan Chiat, reiterate that Trump and his minions have been undemocratically inclined from the beginning. In other words: Homegrown Hitler, as I’ve been saying since 2016. 

 In fact, some former Washington officials are so worried that, if all else fails, Trump will attempt to use the military to retain power, that they engaged in a pre-emptive strike. Fred Kaplan’s report in Slate begins: 

" In an unprecedented critique of a sitting president, all of the 10 living former secretaries of defense—from five administrations, Democratic and Republican—have warned that the time for challenging the 2020 election results has passed, that ordering the U.S. armed forces to resolve disputes would be “dangerous, unlawful and unconstitutional,” and that those who issue or execute such orders “would be accountable” and possibly face “criminal penalties” for “the grave consequences of their actions on our republic.” 

 Though Kaplan reports that none of the signatories (from the administrations of both Bushes, Clinton, Obama-- and Trump) believe a coup would succeed—military chiefs would refuse it an an unlawful order. This statement, published as a Washington Post oped, is to support them. Kaplan notes that according to an historian, that so many former Pentagon chiefs have never signed their names to anything. In yet another massive irony, it is said that the person who organized the oped is none other than the last proto-fascist in the White House, Dick Cheney.

 But Eliot Cohen (also in the Atlantic) suggests that while these are dark days, the future may be brighter, in his piece titled: Don’t Despair: Americans are equal to this moment. He also has been warning about Trumpism since the beginning, but sees resilience coming to the rescue.

 But he begins his piece with the best description of the habits we’ve been forced into since 2016, fully enabled by the Internet: 

" The most apt coinage of recent years is doomscrolling. Early in the morning or late at night, you can scan through an app on your handheld device for infection numbers, test-positivity rates, and news of vaccine shortages. If your interests range more widely, you can monitor domestic-abuse and murder rates, cases of depression and anxiety, crumbling small businesses, and the lonely snuffings-out of the flickering light of life for hundreds of thousands of the aged and the vulnerable. Or you can scrutinize the latest deranged claims and incitements of a mad and evil president; statements of support made by politicians faithless to the Constitution, intellectuals unimpeded by truth, lawless lawyers, and godless pastors; and the fears of the residents of one city or another swallowing hard at warnings of riots and wild-eyed Proud Boy desperadoes toting long guns. These are cruel facts, not exaggerated one whit.”

 But he is optimistic, though he takes a very long view. And we must allow for the possibilities of better news even this week: the Georgia Democrats win, maybe even handily with results just hours after the polls close. The presidential phone call to Georgia has also stymied the AlwaysTrumpers in Congress so perhaps their objections will turn out to be brief and pro forma, and quickly dealt with. And the demonstrations in Washington are relatively small (so Trump won’t show up), and relatively brief and devoid of serious violence.

 Which only frees us to monitor hugely ballooning Covid statistics and vaccine chaos, but at least gets us a little closer to January 20, and what must happen to end the mortal threat of this pandemic before even more sicken and die, and the rest of us get even crazier.

 Cohen also quotes Benjamin Franklin’s famous one-liner, which for the next three days is less a witticism than a warning. When asked what kind of government the Founders had finally come up with, Franklin is said to have responded: “A Republic, if you can keep it.”

Monday, January 04, 2021

Poetry Monday: Keeping Our Small Boat Afloat


Keeping Our Small Boat Afloat

 So many blessings have been given to us
 During the first distribution of light, that we are
 Admired in a thousand galaxies for our grief.

 Don’t expect us to appreciate creation or to
 Avoid mistakes. Each of us is a latecomer
 To the earth, picking up wood for the fire.

 Every night another beam of light slips out
 From the oyster’s closed eye.
 So don’t give up hope that the door of mercy may still be open.

 Seth and Shem, tell me, are you still grieving 
Over the spark of light that descended with no 
Defender near into the Egypt of Mary’s womb?

 It’s hard to grasp how much generosity
 Is involved in letting us go on breathing, 
When we contribute nothing valuable but our grief.
 
Each of us deserves to be forgiven, if only for
 Our persistence in keeping our small boat afloat
 When so many have gone down in the storm.

Robert Bly


 At a meeting filmed for Bill Moyers’ “A Gathering of Men,” Robert Bly begins by addressing the younger members of his audience. He plays his bouzouki (string instrument resembling a mandolin) and recites his version of what’s become known as the beginning of a Breton fisherman’s prayer: “Lord help me/Because/My boat is so small/and your sea/ is so immense.” He says this is the feeling you might have if you decide to write poetry. In one sense perhaps, that’s the small boat he’s keeping afloat in this poem (written many years later), which otherwise could just be our lives, especially in a stormy year like 2020 and certainly as 2021 begins.  We might think of the persistence it takes to survive the Covid crisis.  But poets who continue writing and keep their boats afloat for many years (he says elsewhere), are happy that they have.