Tuesday, June 03, 2008

The Future Begins


"America, this is our moment. This is our time.
Our time to turn the page on the policies of the past.
Our time to bring new energy and new ideas to the challenges we face.
Our time to offer a new direction for the country we love."

Barack Obama in St. Paul on the night he became the Democratic
nominee for President of the United States. Transcript . Here's a
nice description of the event, with 17,000 in the arena and another
twelve to fifteen thousand outside.Posted by Picasa

Obamas in St. Paul Tuesday




photos: NY Times, Reuters
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Friday, May 30, 2008

Let the Future Begin


Great Falls, Montana today. Hat
tip to Ambbogie for noting this photo. Posted by Picasa

Donna Braizle's Message on the Democratic Nomination

Donna Braizle, former campaign manager for Al Gore, is a super-delegate, Chair of the Democratic National Committee's Voting Rights Institute, and a CNN commentator. She is also a member of the Democratic Rules Committee that meets Saturday to determine the Michigan and Florida delegations (the states she refers to towards the end of this excerpt.) This is part of a statment that appears on her web site. (Hat tip to Jena's diary at Kos. ) I've added emphasis and paragraphing.

"It's time to rally around the nominee as soon as the fourth day of June breaks upon the horizon. Why not? What would Democrats gain by taking this debate any further, especially when the party is now engaged in the kind of polarizing politics that we once denounced the GOP for using for partisan gain. What can be won by tainting the process, arguing the rules are now unfair, or worse, the Republican rule of winner-takes-all should have guided the Democrats as well?

All this fuss is simply about saving face and waiting to see whether some awful thing tarnishes the presumptive nominee. It's shameful, short-sighted, mean-spirited and morally unacceptable. Now, I said it. To my longstanding friends in the feminist community who have called out the media as being culturally sexist and misogynistic, it is time to help educate the American public about the corrosive impact of sexism in politics and elsewhere. But we can have this dialogue without using divisive language and political tactics that further threaten to divide our country and party. If another woman comes up to me in an airport and suggests Obama should wait his turn, I might scream, "Stop it!" This is not about who should be first, it's about who has the most delegates and who might make the best president of the United States.

The most tragic thing I have heard is this need to link the Obama camp to pundits inside the media who have used the "math" historically used to call an election with attempts to push Hillary out of the race. After all, when the senator held a lead in every national poll in 2007, the media described her groundbreaking campaign as being inevitable. No one called that sexist.

Obama will have earned the right to become the declared Democratic nominee once he has reached the 2,026 delegates he needs. If the party decides to amend the just and known penalty it swore to impose on states and those officials that put its voters in jeopardy of not having a voice at the convention by violating the rules, the adjusted number should not alter the race. Instead, the amendment should allow the presumptive nominee to help bring the party together."

Sunday, May 25, 2008

Is There Life on Mars?


The Phoenix Mars Lander began its exploration of the Martian polar cap area, searching for "evidence of the building blocks of life."Of today's launch, project manager Barry Goldstein said: "In my dreams it couldn't have gone as perfectly as it went."Said the AP story: "It performed a choreographed dance that included unfurling its parachute, shedding its heat shield and backshell, and firing thrusters to slow to a 5 mph touchdown. The radio signal confirming the landing came at 4:53 p.m. PDT."

This is the first probe on the Mars surface to look for signs of life since Viking. But its 90 day mission drilling into the permafrost has limits, according to the AP story:

"The lander also will study whether the ice ever melted at some point in Mars' history when the planet had a warmer environment than the current harsh, cold one it currently has.Scientists do not expect to find water in its liquid form at the Phoenix landing site because it's too frigid. But they say that if raw ingredients of life exist anywhere on the planet, they likely would be preserved in the ice.Phoenix, however, cannot detect signs of alien life that may exist now or once existed."Posted by Picasa

Obama at Wesleyan

Barack Obama gave the commencement address at Wesleyan University today.

He spoke about how Ted Kennedy (who was scheduled to give the address and asked Obama to fill in) and all the Kennedys have changed American lives for the better, and he renewed their call to service. Among the 25,000 people there were graduate Caroline Raclin Kennedy, Ted's step-daughter (photo.) Thanks for 3 of these photos to Al Rodgers--with more here. Here is the
YouTube of this inspiring address, which
uniquely tells of Obama's own youthful
experiences and call to service, as well as
explaining how important service will be in the Obama administration. Here's a transcript.

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The Climate Crisis and A Call to Service

"Because our individual salvation depends on collective salvation. Because thinking only about yourself, fulfilling your immediate wants and needs, betrays a poverty of ambition. Because it’s only when you hitch your wagon to something larger than yourself that you realize your true potential and discover the role you’ll play in writing the next great chapter in America’s story.

There are so many ways to serve and so much need at this defining moment in our history... Because our individual salvation depends on collective salvation. Because thinking only about yourself, fulfilling your immediate wants and needs, betrays a poverty of ambition. Because it’s only when you hitch your wagon to something larger than yourself that you realize your true potential and discover the role you’ll play in writing the next great chapter in America’s story

There are so many ways to serve and so much need at this defining moment in our history.

I ask you to seek these opportunities when you leave here, because the future of this country – your future – depends on it... At a time when our ice caps are melting and our oceans are rising, we need you to help lead a green revolution. We still have time to avoid the catastrophic consequences of climate change if we get serious about investing in renewable sources of energy, and if we get a generation of volunteers to work on renewable energy projects, and teach folks about conservation, and help clean up polluted areas; if we send talented engineers and scientists abroad to help developing countries promote clean energy."

Barack Obama at Wesleyan University today



Thursday, May 22, 2008

The Obama Majority

With his 18 point victory in Oregon, Barack Obama achieved an absolute majority in elected delegates. He is less than 70 delegates short of the number needed to claim the nomination. Despite her victory in Kentucky and her recent statements, there is no way that Hillary Clinton can claim the nomination unless the will of the people expressed in all these contests is nullified.

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Sunday, May 18, 2008

The Rally the Size of a City


says the Washington Post about Obama's speech
in Portland, OR Sunday. If you were in the back
of this crowd, you were a half mile away from the
podium. 60,000 in the park, 15,000 outside the
gates, not counting folks in boats and elsewhere
there for the rally.Posted by Picasa

Obama before 75,000 in Portland OR

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Saturday, May 17, 2008

Protected--But How?

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Stop It/Fix It Climate Crisis Updates

At the end of another record-high day on the CA North Coast, it seems appropriate to catch up on some Climate Crisis news.

In the Stop It division (addressing the long-term threat of global heating), scientists warned that world CO2 levels are at record high--a 650,000 year record high, and despite all the hot air about the problem, the accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is accelerating.

One group of scientists suggested that the planet may be entering a natural cooling period, independent of the Climate Crisis phenomenon, which could provide a decade of breathing space to deal with the long term crisis while temperatures remain steady, but other scientists don't think evidence of the cooling is valid.

After much debate, the U.S. government finally classified the polar bear as a protected species, "one likely to become in danger of extinction in the foreseeable future." The debate continues, however, on just what actual measures the U.S. government will take to protect this protected species, threatened by the melting effects of global heating. The only effective way of protecting the polar bear is to protect its habitat, and the only effective way of doing that is to stop global heating. But the current administration is resisting that implication.

On the national level, the debate in the U.S. has finally begun to move from whether the Climate Crisis is real to how best to address it, especially as John McCain and Barack Obama, the two likely major party nominees, recognize the urgency, though McCain's depends on Bush-like vague goals with no real plan, while Obama's are more comprehensive and realistic, linking Climate Crisis solutions to related energy, environmental and economic benefits.

Central to the hope of linking economic benefits to energy self-reliance through more reliance on renewable clean energy, to addressing the Climate Crisis ,is the possibility of new industries providing good "green jobs." Here's evidence that this revolution is already underway, at least in the American Northwest.

China, which may be replacing the U.S. as the largest single greenhouse gas polluter, is at least recognizing the problems, setting goals and reaching out for help. But this interesting essay suggests that China's problems are our problems, too, since much of their pollution comes from producing goods for America.

In the U.S., super-high gas prices are quickly becoming a factor in encouraging the kind of smarter and reduced energy use, and implementation of clean renewable energy technologies that are crucial to Stop It efforts. Some efforts are less obvious than others--for instance, organic farming may not only be healthy, energy-saving and environmentally sound in many ways, it may help deal with the Climate Crisis. The fairly insane way food in transported around the world to save money (cod caught off Norway is shipped to China where it is filleted and sent back to Norway) is reaching the point where transportation erases any cost benefits. Ending much of this also has environmental benefits.

But the links worth both ways: environmental damage can make the Climate Crisis worse. A current example: Timber companies cut down forests that had a naturally diverse ecosystem and a mix of trees, and replaced them with tree farms of the kind of single-species trees they find most profitable to grow and then cut down. But lack of species diversity has made some western forests more vulnerable to disease and destructive bugs like the pine beetle that is now devastating those forests. Living trees breathe in carbon, but dying trees release carbon into the atmosphere, making the Climate Crisis worse.


Fix It is my shorthand for fixing the effects related or attributable to today's Climate Crisis, such as managing heat emergencies, treatment and prevention of diseases resulting from climate induced changes, dealing with related other social crises, and responding to CC related emergencies such as drought and floods. It's important to understand that these are separate aspects of the crisis, so we don't adopt an either/or approach. But there are areas in which Fix It solutions can lead to longer term Stop It efforts.

For example, rebuilding after disaster, including natural disasters both directly related and either indirectly or unrelated to the Climate Crisis, can be accomplished using energy saving and renewable energy technologies that will help in the long-term effort to stop more global heating. The example in the news recently was Greensburg, Kansas, a year after the town was virtually destroyed by a tornado. But there are other examples, large and small.

Crucial to Fix It efforts that contribute to Stop It success, as well as to changes necessary to the long-term future independent of current emergencies, is "green building": environmental design that, a study suggests, can help cut greenhouse gas emissions faster and cheaper in North America than any other single measure. The progressive American Institute of Architects has been moving in this direction for years, and has set goals of cutting fossil fuel in buildings by half in two years, and achieving carbon neutrality by 2030.

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Towards One America


"Democratic voters in America have made their
choice, and so have I...“There is one man who knows
in his heart that it is time to tear down that wall
and make one America: Barack Obama.”
John Edwards, endorsing Barack Obama in Michigan.Posted by Picasa

Thursday, May 08, 2008

We Have A Dream

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The Next President

The headline of the day (next to the BBC's GREAT TITS COPE WELL WITH WARMING--it's about the birds, of course, coping with global warming--what did you think it meant? ) is this one from Politico: CLINTON WON'T QUIT; OBAMA DOESN'T CARE.

While Clinton is off getting heckled in West Virginia and playing shock jock with her overtly racist analyses, Obama is mobbed by members of Congress of both parties on the House floor. With every day that passes, the Clinton candidacy recedes. She won Indiana by less than 1%, which means that Rush Limbaugh was her margin of victory.

She has no path to the nomination within the rules, let alone the rules of decency. Today there is still talk about her wanting and even demanding the v.p. spot, but that too will soon fade. The Clintons are yesterday. If they hadn't run such a mean-spirited campaign--and especially if they weren't still at it--there might be cause for some sadness in that. But not from me. By the time she wins West Virginia Tuesday, Hillary will be lucky if a cable network other than Fox carries her victory speech. Even the chair of the Democratic party in West Virginia suggested she might drop out before then.

Obama has turned his attention to the general election, while still showing respect for the voters in the remaining states with contests by campaigning there. His next victory is likely to be on May 20 in Oregon, when he almost certainly will have obtained the majority of total pledged delegates available from all the primaries and caucuses. If not by then, then soon after, party leaders in Michigan and Florida will have made deals to have delegations seated at the Convention, even if Hillary doesn't approve. Obama doesn't have to mollify the Clintons or figure out what he has to give them in order for Hillary to drop out. He needs only to show her voters and supporters respect by allowing her to continue until the contests are over--respect that in many cases they didn't show him. And if she doesn't concede by mid June, the super-delegates will move en masse to Obama.

The Democrats are in great position to win the presidency and gain greater majorities in Congress. They aren't going to let that be messed up. The longer the Clintons stay in, the more obvious it becomes to Democrats that they've picked the right candidate, not only to run for President, but to be President.

George McGovern, who switched his endorsement from Clinton to Obama, says of him, "We may have a second Lincoln."

So on August 28, the 45th anniversary of Martin Luther King, Jr.'s "I have a dream" speech, Barack Obama will accept the nomination of the Democratic Party for the presidency of the United States.

Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Thank you, North Carolina!


Barack Obama is headed for a big win in North
Carolina. All the networks called it for him immediately
as the polls closed. Meanwhile, Indiana is still too
close to call. Update: Obama came closer than anyone
predicted in Indiana. In his victory speech in N.C. he said
repeatedly that he has faith in the American people.
That faith was confirmed in these elections, when the
distractions, phony issues, attacks and political pandering
were all rejected. Barack Obama is going to be the
Democratic Party nominee for President. Posted by Picasa

Change Has Already Begun


One of the 21,000 or so people who
attended the Obama speech in Indianapolis
Monday night took this photo in the nearby
park as she was on her way to get in line. Soon
we will be hearing about numbers, demographics,
delegates, spin, winners and losers in perceptions.
But I've been reading and hearing what many people
have said about what voting for Barack Obama in these
primaries means to them. Voting, seeing and hearing him
in itself has transformed lives. Children will remember this,
young people will remember how they felt. If Barack Obama
becomes President, there's every chance that someday he
will be favorably compared to our greatest Presidents. Lots
of people know that, and so for millions of people in Indiana
and North Carolina, this is going to be a special day. And
in them, and with them, change has already begun.

Here's part of what Barack Obama said in Indianapolis:

I was convinced that this was the moment that we had to break through from the old type of politics. And I believe that the American people want that.
If we keep on doing the same old things, in the same old ways -- having Washington just try to get by and get through the next election then we are betraying our children, our great grand children and that's not the kind of America I want to live in. I don't want to just win an election, I want to change the country and that's why you're here as well.


When all we're doing is arguing back and forth, who said what, then we are forgetting what this election is about. This campaign is about you. This about your voice, your dreams, your struggles and your aspirations. And when this country is focused on its hopes and its aspirations instead of its fears, then thats when we are going to be able to deliver on change for every American.

On the night before election day in Indiana and North Carolina, the number of individuals who have contributed to the Obama campaign passed one and a half million. Posted by Picasa

Monday, May 05, 2008

North Carolina, Indiana Vote Tuesday

As his support with Democratic Party leadership grows, including the former party chair who switched from Clinton to Obama and urged both super-delegates and his fellow citizens of Indiana to vote for Obama, Barack Obama goes before voters in two states tomorrow.

During weeks of attacks from the Clintons, McCain and their allies, and sustained media obsession with issues that voters say don't matter, Obama has made his case and honed his message in these states. He's rebounded in the national polls, but only the voters in North Carolina and Indiana can make the greatest statement: that they are tired of these distractions and divisions, they are ready to get behind their nominee, Barack Obama.

Here's his two minute closer ad. Here's his 30 minute closing argument in Indiana. Here's a more informal couple of minutes with Obama talking in practical terms about how he will continue to include the American people in making change in Washington.

And for Obama and Star Wars fans, here's a brief video summary of the adventure so far...
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Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Guernica is not past


The painting by Picasso. The quote by Faulkner:
"The past is never dead. It's not even past."Posted by Picasa

J'Accuse!

This month (last Saturday to be exact) marks the 71st anniversary of the German bombing of Guernica, which essentially inaugurated the mass terror bombing of World War II. Five bombing raids with incendiary bombs dropped from primitive aircraft resulted in some 1650 deaths in this small market town in Spain. By the end of World War II, bombers and missiles killed thousands in London in the Blitz, and massive numbers of sophisticated aircraft and powerful bombs killed 100,000 mostly civilians in Dresden and 130,00 in Tokyo, before the atomic bombs killed at least 280,000 in Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

Two generations later, much of the world has internalized the horror of that war, as well as the different but in some ways worse horrors of World War I. But America has not, argues Tony Judt in an indispensable article in the New York Review of Books. Some of our political thinkers even argue that such history--any history--is irrelevant as a guide to our present and future, because the bad old past is over, and things are different now.

So Judt asks the question in the title of his piece: "What Have We Learned, If Anything?" What's clear to him--and to me--is what we haven't learned: "In the US, at least, we have forgotten the meaning of war." One of the main reasons is that in the 20th century, we were lucky. War hardly touched us--not the World Wars, not even the waves of terrorism that Europe experienced, let alone other parts of the world. But even though the lessons of those wars are available to us in accounts, in eloquent writings and filmmaking, we haven't learned them. Instead, we are going through what we should have learned to avoid. For example:

"World War I led to an unprecedented militarization of society, the worship of violence, and a cult of death that long outlasted the war itself and prepared the ground for the political disasters that followed. States and societies seized during and after World War II by Hitler or Stalin (or by both, in sequence) experienced not just occupation and exploitation but degradation and corrosion of the laws and norms of civil society. The very structures of civilized life—regulations, laws, teachers, policemen, judges—disappeared or else took on sinister significance: far from guaranteeing security, the state itself became the leading source of insecurity. Reciprocity and trust, whether in neighbors, colleagues, community, or leaders, collapsed. Behavior that would be aberrant in conventional circumstances—theft, dishonesty, dissemblance, indifference to the misfortune of others, and the opportunistic exploitation of their suffering—became not just normal but sometimes the only way to save your family and yourself. Dissent or opposition was stifled by universal fear.

War, in short, prompted behavior that would have been unthinkable as well as dysfunctional in peacetime. It is war, not racism or ethnic antagonism or religious fervor, that leads to atrocity. War—total war—has been the crucial antecedent condition for mass criminality in the modern era. "

Americans fought and died in the two world wars--but Over There. Americans could observe what happened in those societies, but the lessons didn't take. We didn't experience what they experienced, starting with the extent of death and destruction.

"In World War II, when the US lost about 420,000 armed forces in combat, Japan lost 2.1 million, China 3.8 million, Germany 5.5 million, and the Soviet Union an estimated 10.7 million. The Vietnam Veterans Memorial in Washington, D.C., records the deaths of 58,195 Americans over the course of a war lasting fifteen years: but the French army lost double that number in six weeks of fighting in May–June 1940...

But it is civilian casualties that leave the most enduring mark on national memory and here the contrast is piquant indeed. In World War II alone the British suffered 67,000 civilian dead. In continental Europe, France lost 270,000 civilians. Yugoslavia recorded over half a million civilian deaths, Germany 1.8 million, Poland 5.5 million, and the Soviet Union an estimated 11.4 million. These aggregate figures include some 5.8 million Jewish dead. Further afield, in China, the death count exceeded 16 million. American civilian losses (excluding the merchant navy) in both world wars amounted to less than 2,000 dead. "

So what does this mean?

"As a consequence, the United States today is the only advanced democracy where public figures glorify and exalt the military, a sentiment familiar in Europe before 1945 but quite unknown today. Politicians in the US surround themselves with the symbols and trappings of armed prowess; even in 2008 American commentators excoriate allies that hesitate to engage in armed conflict. I believe it is this contrasting recollection of war and its impact, rather than any structural difference between the US and otherwise comparable countries, which accounts for their dissimilar responses to international challenges today. Indeed, the complacent neoconservative claim that war and conflict are things Americans understand—in contrast to naive Europeans with their pacifistic fantasies—seems to me exactly wrong: it is Europeans (along with Asians and Africans) who understand war all too well. Most Americans have been fortunate enough to live in blissful ignorance of its true significance."

Judt writes in detail about how this also leads us to misjudge our enemies, particularly in the so-called war on terror. Another consequence is this administration's attitude to torture, which used to be the dividing line between democracies and dictatorships. " Torture really is no good, especially for republics. And as Aron noted many decades ago, "torture—and lies—[are] the accompaniment of war.... What needed to be done was end the war."
We are slipping down a slope. The sophistic distinctions we draw today in our war on terror—between the rule of law and "exceptional" circumstances, between citizens (who have rights and legal protections) and noncitizens to whom anything can be done, between normal people and "terrorists," between "us" and "them"—are not new. The twentieth century saw them all invoked. They are the selfsame distinctions that licensed the worst horrors of the recent past: internment camps, deportation, torture, and murder—those very crimes that prompt us to murmur "never again." So what exactly is it that we think we have learned from the past? Of what possible use is our self-righteous cult of memory and memorials if the United States can build its very own internment camp and torture people there? "


I would add something else to Judt's point: it's not only that Americans didn't experience war the way others did, it's also that America--with all these years of prosperity, access to education and information--is still so fond of being ignorant. We don't learn from history because we don't respect the ability to learn from history. We demand our leaders bowl well and be the kind of guy or gal you can have a shot and a beer with. Not that they know anything, or can bring any insight and intelligence to the problems that are killing us, and laying waste the world. Just so they talk tough. We'll keep at if it takes a hundred years! We'll totally obliterate them!

It's not like the lessons of war and the 20th century are unavailable. On TV the other night I happened to see some of Abel Gance's great 1919 film, J'Accuse. There are scenes of men killed in war rising up and returning to accuse those who profited by the war and their deaths (scenes that Gance used again in his 1937 remake.) Some of the men in those scenes were actual soldiers, who shortly afterwards were killed in battle. We are seeing the dead returning, literally. Asked the meaning of his film's title, Gance said: "I am accusing war. I am accusing man. I am accusing universal stupidity."

That was almost 90 years ago. And yet, this past week a story broke about retired military officers trotted out as experts by television news networks to explain the Iraq war and the war on terror, who were not only political instruments of the Cheney administration, but paid by companies profiting from the war. Said the New York Times: " The effort, which began with the buildup to the Iraq war and continues to this day, has sought to exploit ideological and military allegiances, and also a powerful financial dynamic: Most of the analysts have ties to military contractors vested in the very war policies they are asked to assess on air." J'Accuse!

But these days the news media can't even be bothered to justify the war--they ignore it. They ignore that April has been the deadliest month in Iraq since last September. J'Accuse! Meanwhile, contractors who have made billions to reconstruct Iraq have cheated, lied, done shoddy work or didn't finish the job, and still got rich. J'Accuse! For all the good it will do.

Judt's article concludes:

" Far from escaping the twentieth century, we need, I think, to go back and look a bit more carefully. We need to learn again—or perhaps for the first time—how war brutalizes and degrades winners and losers alike and what happens to us when, having heedlessly waged war for no good reason, we are encouraged to inflate and demonize our enemies in order to justify that war's indefinite continuance. And perhaps, in this protracted electoral season, we could put a question to our aspirant leaders: Daddy (or, as it might be, Mommy), what did you do to prevent the war?"

That last sentiment in fact was a slogan in the 60s (though not a bumper sticker--no one would dare put it on the back of a car, if you wanted an intact windshield.) Our hope ultimately is today's young, like the black junior high age boy I saw the other day, wearing a t-shirt with the script familiar from the Star Wars movies, only the words said: "Stop Wars." But way before he is an adult, Americans have to come to grip with this failure to learn. Or it could be too late.

Saturday, April 26, 2008

Hillary's Foreign Policy?

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Obliteration

When Hillary Clinton threatened to "obliterate" Iran, it was rhetoric that not even Dick Cheney could have dared to use. When she several times talked of "massive retaliation" in the Middle East, not only if Israel is attacked but unnamed other countries, she was toying with nuclear annihilation in such a cavalier way that it should have been shocking. In fact, it should have prompted Democrats, Independents and the non-insane wing of the Republican party to condemn her. Even as campaign rhetoric it was dangerous enough to disqualify any serious candidate for the Presidency.

So what greeted her statement? Silence, pretty much. At least here in the U.S., where the news media is obsessed with flag pins, and politicians are too busy taking the temperature of super-delegates. The response, or lack of it, I found more shocking than Clinton's reckless, tougher-than-the-guys, warmongering rhetoric.

But it didn't get past a lot of people in the rest of the world. Says the Los Angeles Times: " But it prompted shock overseas as well as headlines from Bulgaria to New Zealand."

This is what a British diplomat (Lord Mark Malloch-Brown) said:

"While it is reasonable to warn Iran of the consequence of it continuing to develop nuclear weapons and what those real consequences bring to its security, it is not probably prudent ... in today's world to threaten to obliterate any other country and in many cases civilians resident in such a country."

It's what every responsible American politician on the national level--and certainly every congressional Democrat--should have said. And should say. In a country that takes the presidency and its place in the world seriously--especially when the entire globe must cooperate to deal with the Climate Crisis or failure will exact a toll on everyone--this statement should obliterate the candidacy of the person who made it. But hey, let's talk a little more about "bitter."

Update: Well, at least somebody else is taking this seriously.
Update 2: As is the Sunday Boston Globe, in an editorial entitled "Hillary Strangelove." The Globe concludes: "A presidential candidate who lightly commits to obliterating Iran - and, presumably, all the children, parents, and grandparents in Iran - should not be answering the White House phone at any time of day or night."

Friday, April 25, 2008

Glacial No More


The phrase "glacial change" takes on new
meaning, as scientists continue to be freshly
shocked by the speed of melting at the poles,
and pretty much anywhere there's
ice. This is a satellite photo of the Lambert
glacier in the Antarctic.

The New Abnormal

As a society, we live within an elastic sense of normality. It expands or contracts a bit, and changes over time: that's our sense of what's normal. An intelligent, vital society recognizes signs and small changes that threaten that normality, and elements of the society work together to stop problems before they become threatening.

Right now normality is at the breaking point. The most obvious signs are the changes rippling through daily life caused by high oil prices and a global food crisis. At the same time there are other serious problems manifesting themselves in our financial and economic systems. The lives of millions of people are changing for the worse. Soon the elastic could break.

We could have avoided what's happening, and what may come. Within society, we are pretty good at diagnosis and innovation. Some people within society know what the problems are, and there are possible solutions.

But society as a whole isn't functioning intelligently. In many ways we are a cell phone version of the decadent Roman Empire. Our politics in this crucial year has become dominated by idiocy. After more than 20 years of cultural brutalization, we are ready to brand anything intelligent as "elitist." We can barely understand the word "distraction," because our lives are all distraction. While the Climate Crisis is contributing right now to the fractures in our normality, big money fuels loud voices calling reality into question, and those voices become enablers for the fearful. They call those who recognize the threat of the Climate Crisis alarmists, because they do not want to hear the alarm.

Civilization is in peril. We don't have the normal margin for error, or for stupidity. We could have prevented a great deal of what is starting to happen now. The sooner we recognize the threat to normality, the better chance we have of doing something effective, rather than something stupid that will only make things worse.

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Bump in the Road to the White House


For Barack Obama, the PA results were a bump
in the road. Clinton gained a net of 9 to 12 delegates,
and lost her last big chance to gain significant ground.
She needed to win by the 25 points she had been leading
in some polls a couple of months ago. She won by 9.2. So
for Obama, it has its minuses and its pluses. For me it
was more personal. While the campaign reminded me of
what I cherished about the state, the result reminded me
of why I left, several times. PA is so old partly because the
cost of living there is relatively low, and the last generation
to have pensions they can count on has retired. But it's also
because the young leave. A lot don't want to, but there aren't
enough ways to make a living. Some feel they have to, because
the mood of the place is stultifying and oppressive. And that's
another reason those jobs aren't there: imagination and innovation
are a hard sell.

It's still a beautiful state, the cities of Pittsburgh and (I'm told) Philadelphia
are unrecognized jewels, and family and loyalty are values the rest of
the country could use more of. But the place has the vices of its virtues,
and the contradictions within the white working class culture are major.
Listen to Lennon's "A Working Class Hero" and you get the drift.

The New York Times today has an article arguing that "According to surveys of Pennsylvania voters leaving the polls on Tuesday, Mr. Obama would draw majorities of support from lower-income voters and less-educated ones — just as Mrs. Clinton would against Mr. McCain, even though those voters have favored her over Mr. Obama in the primaries." So her "more electable" argument based on the PA results doesn't work, besides contradicting most national polls. Clinton is running out of time--she can't win enough delegates or enough votes to surpass Obama. This should have ended in PA, but now it will end somewhere else. In a month or, more likely, two weeks. Posted by Picasa

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Earth in View


an infrared imaging of the West Fjords of
Iceland from Earth orbit. Though Earth Day has apparently
devolved into sentimental plant-a-tree platitudes,
the meaning of it isn't about the Earth in isolation
or as the Big Other; it's the relationship of humanity
with Earth. So refresh your memory of this post and
this one. Posted by Picasa

Hey PA, Make Us a President


It's been fun following the Obama campaign in Pennsylvania. It's my state, even if only now a state of mind. I'm excited about what this election today may show. There are many Pennsylvanias--not just the old cliches favored by TV pundits. MSNBC even thought it was important to poll the preferences of beer drinkers, gun owners and bowlers. That may be PA but it's not the whole PA. It's alot more complex than that, and each stereotyped region is a lot more subtle.

Back when the Governor's office of Bob Casey, Sr. was my client, I wrote a document called "The New Pennsylvania: A Commonwealth That Works." Today we'll see who shows up, and in what numbers: the old PA or the New Pennsylvania. Which is a new
combination of old and new, tradition and the future.

But there are things that unite places. That's Barack Obama over there, with Steelers owner and local icon, the nationally revered Dan Rooney.
Who endorsed Obama, as did Franco Harris and the Bus. There are lots of
different Pittsburghs. But the Steelers are all those Pittsburghs; they are Pittsburgh.

Everybody's got a town. San Francisco is still a fantasy to me, and Vancouver is a dream. Pittsburgh is still my town. Do the right thing, Pittsburgh. You can make history today, Pennsylvania. You can essentially nominate the next President. I'm pretty sure you're going to make it just about impossible for anyone else to get the Democratic nomination but Barack Obama.

It's going to be a fun day just thinking about you.

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