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Soviet Russia in the 1990s |
This has happened to me more than once recently: I'm coming out of an involving dream, not yet awake but becoming aware that what I've just experienced was in a dream, not reality, with a sense of relief. Then I am jolted awake by the sudden awareness of what reality looks like these days, more dangerous and unreal than a nightmare. And that's what it feels like: a waking nightmare.
"Every day since January 20 has felt like utter chaos," begins a summation signed by the New York Times Editorial Board. On April 29, Democratic members of the US Senate held the floor potentially through the night for a discussion backgrounded by the logo "100 Days of Chaos."
One way I look at this reign of Chaos emerges from my days as a theatre columnist and erstwhile membership in the Dramatists Guild: I see it as a three-act play. The first act--comprised of the first 100 days--is coming to a close. Alas there is probably no intermission before the Second Act begins, and it is a much longer one--it won't end until November 2026. However the congressional elections turn out--whether they are truly elections at all--will set the stage for Act III, the final act of this drama.
The three act structure is also employed in movies and more loosely in television, so Act I can be seen as a version of Orwell's Nineteen Eighty-Four (with a Justice Department oozing injustice, a Health department degrading health, and now a Civil Rights division zealously attacking civil rights) crossed with a satire of The Godfather as directed by Stanley Kubrick in full Doctor Strangelove mode, but including scenes of real tragedy that foreshadow conflicts in future Acts.
Creating the characters would have challenged even Kubrick: an Attorney General named Pam and a director of Homeland Security called Kristi, both seemingly qualified mostly by their appeal to the roving eye of Boss Chaos, along with their clinging loyalty and vicious robotic tongues.
Not long ago a hint that a Cabinet aspirant had once inhaled some cannabis fumes would cause a scandal, but here we have a Health Secretary who was (or is) an admitted heroin addict, and a Secretary of Defense who was (or is) a notorious fall-down drunk and sexual predator. An Education Secretary qualified by her years of organizing fake violence for sweaty World Wrestling entertainment leads a list of those running powerful government bureaucracies with none of the usual qualifications or experience. They alone are living definitions of tragi-comedy. Just for a moment stage in your head a Kubrick-directed cabinet meeting, headed by Boss Chaos who proclaims, "I run the country and the world."
Kubrick could also deliver not only the degradation and stupidity but the tragic edge--for instance the updated Gestapo that may or may not be ICE. But he might need Don DeLillo to write the character (and make up the absurd name) of Elon Musk.
But enough about Act I. We've all seen it as it rushed by in--what was that word the Times and the Senate Dems used? Oh yeah: Chaos. Also it presented lawlessness, racism, open corruption, institutionalized cruelty and callousness, and more destruction to nearly every institution, principle and facet of America than any enemy nation could have dreamed of wreaking, and none could ever accomplish. We see a federal government being run as a cartoon criminal enterprise.
If tragic history is repeated as farce, does the opposite apply? Does this tragic farce become utter tragedy? That's one of the questions to be answered in Act II.
So maybe now's the time for that novel concept, a spoiler alert. No one knows what horrors and insanity await, but here are some possible plot points and dramatic questions for Act II...
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Soviet Russia |
Act II will inevitably be characterized by consequences of actions taken in Act I. The tariffs are already wrecking the economy at the level of business planning, which is resulting in shrinking inventories and orders as well as the beginning of layoffs.
In summer the tourist industry will feel the effects of both fewer foreign tourists and less travel by Americans. By fall one of the plotlines will likely be panic over the Christmas shopping season, with fewer imports, empty shelves and higher prices. By the first of the year if not before, the economy could well be in deepening recession.
Chaos will have spread to other countries, and politics in the US will be feverish. Some time in the Second Act, perhaps sooner rather than later, the Supreme Court will have to deal head-on with the refusal of Boss Chaos to obey court orders, including its own.
Other possible consequences will have their moments. The cumulative effects of the blind destruction of federal support and capacity to respond to both routine needs and sudden crisis may well show up, often in lots of individual stories of economic and health hardships and life-changing injustices, or more widely shared stories of disasters and epidemics.
An international and/or military challenge could dangerously expose the incompetence and inexperience, intemperance and emotional instability of decision-makers--and here we are in real Doctor Strangelove territory with the potential to literally stop the show.
But in addition to consequences of Act I, there will be new and perhaps bigger actions by Boss Chaos and his minions, furthering their lawless power grabs and dictatorial powers. Already there are fears that the next step in the Hitler playbook will be taken--after establishing ICE or whatever entity it really is that sends masked bullies to brutalize people as the Chaos Gestapo, that next step is Chaos deploying US Armed Forces within American borders and against American citizens. Meanwhile the data stolen by the Muskovites might be combined in a massive database (and if their many examples inept inaccuracy as well as ICE's continues, leading to many tragic mistakes) that will weaponize Big Brother and then some.
Public demonstrations in Act I were widespread and eloquent, as well as peaceful and even playful. They were like big production numbers in a musical. These almost inevitably will change, especially if they seem not to be having the desired effects (through not only administration intransigence but congressional Republican cowardice), and especially as Chaos continues to escalate. Resistance could become more disruptive, maybe even massively disruptive, which may result in Chaos unleashing his Gestapo, his paramilitary gangs he saved from prison, and even the US Army doing ostensible "crowd control."
Resistance on other levels will need to involve combined efforts within institutions of civil society, education, science, the economy and the law. State and local governments could form alliances, as some already are, and take bolder action. There are few precedents for how this would look in America, so a certain creativity as well as courage, resolve and leadership will need to emerge. If it does, Act II could be quite a show.
All of this will culminate as Act II draws to a close with its major dramatic question: Will Chaos have successfully manipulated the electoral system to deny a fair vote in congressional elections? Will there even be elections?
By then we may know the nature of this play. It certainly has tragic events in it already, but will it be a total tragedy? Will there be even the possibility of some redemption in Act III?
Many playwrights have found that the Second Act is the hardest to write. In this play it may well be the hardest to live through. And considering what living through the First Act has been like, that's saying something.
But since we're characters in this play, we need to plan ahead. The First Act was a blitzkreig on reality. But now we've seen it, and we can anticipate what might come next. If we're going to take any part of control in Act II, we need to do that: anticipate and plan what will we do in particular circumstances. We need to write our own lines, script our own actions, often with fellow spear carriers and members of the chorus. We aren't going to awaken from this nightmare anytime soon. We're a captive audience as well as contracted actors. Maybe we can duck out into the lobby once in awhile, or take a break backstage. We need to do those centering and breathing exercises. But basically, the only way out is through.